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Fiendish Thingy

Fiendish Thingy's Journal
Fiendish Thingy's Journal
July 3, 2025

Know Your ICE Agent:

This is especially important for folks who live in “Stand Your Ground” states:

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June 29, 2025

Bob Dylan, the greatest lyricist of the past hundred years: "It's alright Ma (I'm only Bleeding)"

First in a series of posts of my homage to the great man (no he didn’t die, even though some wish he would)

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“Even the president of the United States must sometimes have to stand naked”
June 28, 2025

So, when will Trump announce that the midterms are canceled?

Correct guesses get a one year subscription to Daddy’s Home magazine, courtesy of Trump Publishing.

(Don’t forget to Like and Subscribe…er, Rec for visibility?)

June 22, 2025

The War Powers Act permits a president to use military force without approval from congress

For up to 60 days.

The War Powers Resolution (also known as the War Powers Resolution of 1973 or the War Powers Act) (50 U.S.C. ch. 33) is a federal law intended to check the U.S. president's power to commit the United States to an armed conflict without the consent of the U.S. Congress. The resolution was adopted in the form of a United States congressional joint resolution. It provides that the president can send the U.S. Armed Forces into action abroad only by declaration of war by Congress, "statutory authorization", or in case of "a national emergency created by attack upon the United States, its territories or possessions, or its armed forces".

The bill was introduced by Clement Zablocki, a Democratic congressman representing Wisconsin's 4th district. The bill had bipartisan support and was co-sponsored by a number of U.S. military veterans.[1] The War Powers Resolution requires the president to notify Congress within 48 hours of committing armed forces to military action and forbids armed forces from remaining for more than 60 days, with a further 30-day withdrawal period, without congressional authorization for use of military force (AUMF) or a declaration of war by the United States. The resolution was passed by two-thirds each of the House and Senate, overriding the veto of President Richard Nixon.

It has been alleged that the War Powers Resolution has been violated in the past. However, Congress has disapproved all such incidents, and no allegations have resulted in successful legal actions taken against a president.[2]


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Powers_Resolution

Presidents have used that loophole for decades- Clinton did, Obama did too.

It might be morally wrong, but under current law, it’s not illegal. The only wobbly ground is there was no prior attack on the US or it’s armed forces, and I don’t expect any ruling against Trump on that question.

June 20, 2025

Atlantic: The Myth of the Gen Z Red Wave

https://apple.news/Asogz5mRgQtSlwo9YbSRpCw

(Article might be paywalled)

Good discussion of how available evidence suggests that the shift in youth voting in 2024 was a one-off event and not an ideological realignment. The article challenges the “conventional wisdom” pundits have fed the public via the MSM. My one complaint is the author doesn’t spend much time examining those young voters who abstained from voting and stayed home in 2024, although she does allude to Gen Z’s overall disenchantment with the American system of government.

But voting for a Republican candidate isn’t the same as identifying as conservative. Here is where the CES data cast doubt on the notion that Gen Z is an especially right-leaning generation. According to my analysis of the CES data, young adults have actually become less likely to identify as conservative in surveys during presidential-election years since 2008. The trend is not due to increases in the nonwhite population; fewer white young adults identified as conservative in 2024 (29 percent) than did in 2016 (33 percent).

What about young adults’ positions on specific political issues? For the most part, they are more liberal than previous generations. (No single definition of generational cutoffs exists. In my research and writing, I define the Millennial generation as being born from 1980 to 1994, and Gen Z from 1995 to 2012.) In the 2024 CES survey, 69 percent of young adults supported granting legal status to undocumented immigrants who have not been convicted of felony crimes and who have held jobs and paid taxes for at least three years, up from 58 percent in 2012, the last year all 18-to-29-year-olds were Millennials. Also in the 2024 survey, 63 percent agreed that “generations of slavery and discrimination have created conditions that make it difficult for blacks to work their way out of the lower class,” up from 42 percent in 2012. Support for legal abortion among young adults rose from 46 percent in 2012 to 69 percent in 2024, though the question was worded somewhat differently in those two years. Only one belief shifted in the conservative direction: 62 percent of young adults in 2024 supported increasing border patrols at the U.S.-Mexico border, up from 45 percent in 2012.

The trend looks different if we look at data on partisanship rather than ideology. The Democratic Party has steadily been losing market share among young adults since 2008, mostly because young people have grown likelier to identify as independents; Gen Z is only slightly more Republican than Millennials were at the same age. These young independents tend to vote for Democrats, but, given their lack of party affiliation, their votes are more likely to swing from one election to the next. Indeed, most of the change over the past two elections appears to have been driven by young independent voters breaking for Trump in 2024 when they didn’t in 2020.

Given that young voters have not become more likely to identify as conservative or hold broadly conservative political opinions, Gen Z might not be the disaster for Democrats that Shor and others are predicting. The 2024 election might have been an anomalous event in which young people’s deep dissatisfaction with the economy, especially the inflation that hit their just-starting-out budgets, drove them to want change.

Another distinct possibility is that, going forward, Gen Z will vote for whichever party is not currently in office. Gen Z is a uniquely pessimistic generation. In data I analyzed for my book Generations, Gen Z high-school seniors were more likely than previous generations at the same age to agree with the statements “It is hard for me to hold out much hope for the world” and “I often wonder if there is any real purpose to my life in light of the world situation.” Young Americans today are also unconvinced that their country is anything special: Only 27 percent of high-school seniors think the U.S. system is “still the best in the world,” down from 67 percent in the early 1980s, according to a long-running national survey


This gives a whole new perspective on how best to move forward in strategizing for future elections, and perhaps explains why the approach of hopeful empowerment used by Bernie and AOC has drawn big crowds and resonated so effectively with young people.
June 15, 2025

Pod Save America: Do You Know The 3.5% Rule?

How nonviolent resistance succeeds in toppling autocracy when 3.5% or more of a nation’s population becomes engaged in the movement.

(Don’t let the length of the show dissuade you from listening, the guest does an excellent summary within the first 10 minutes)

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June 10, 2025

Anyone else pissed at the Roberts court?

Since we’re all outraged today, just thought I’d start a thread about the real villains of this story…

May 26, 2025

I believe DU needs crystal clear TOS regarding the posting of AI generated material

Go read this article at Digby’s blog, and then please share your opinions.

https://digbysblog.net/2025/05/26/the-end-is-near-2/

(Google has just launched a new AI tool that is terrifyingly realistic)

Clear TOS on the posting of AI generated material, especially videos, is critical to maintaining the integrity of DU and to prevent it from devolving into just another clickbait disseminator of misinformation and disinformation.

IMO, AI generated material should be clearly labeled as such; if AI material is posted without transparent disclosure, it should be hideable. Material of ambiguous origin should alertable, and subject to moderator approval before posting (I know that is onerous, but I can’t see any other way to prevent a deluge of fake AI garbage from flooding the site, even if it takes a week to review and approve videos of ambiguous origin- maybe make videos of ambiguous origin viewable only by star members?)

My apologies if I have overstepped any boundaries; my intention was to bring this topic to the attention of the mods and the greater DU community for further discussion.

May 22, 2025

Since January, three Democratic representatives over 70 have died

Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” just passed by one vote.

Think about that for a minute.

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About Fiendish Thingy

ELBOWS UP! By any means necessary. I am a lifelong member of the reality-based community. I believe the earth is round, the moon landings were real, and vaccines are safe and helpful, and do not cause autism. I have been on DU since 2004; before 2024, I had fewer than a dozen people on my ignore list. Since the assassination attempt on Trump and his re-election, my ignore list has grown to nearly 100 (as of July 2025), as I add those who espouse conspiracy theories that the assassination attempt was staged, and the 2024 election was rigged (votes changed) and stolen (inaccurate results certified). I believe neither of those things, as there is no credible evidence to support such claims. Is my growing ignore list a sign of my intolerance for differing points of view, or a sign of the DU community’s inability to grieve an election loss and face the real life threats and challenges of Trump’s second term? As my signature line says, quoting Nobel Peace Prize winner Maria Ressa, “without facts you can’t have truth; without truth, you can’t have trust; without trust, there can be no shared reality” Timothy Snyder has said “Post-Truth = Pre-Fascism”. To fight fascism, we must stand for truth, and use unemotional critical thinking to demand credible evidence and verifiable facts, and not rely on emotionally satisfying things such as “forensic statistical analysis” to support our beliefs and suspicions. We must learn to cope with the pain of distressing realities, rather than seek simple, satisfying, evidence-free explanations.
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